The Pathway to Net-Zero Shipping: Socio-Economic Opportunities for South Africa

This study examines the socio-economic implications that could arise if South Africa positions itself as a global hub for green maritime fuels. As international shipping accelerates its shift toward defossilisation, demand for green ammonia, green methanol, and other PtX-derived fuels is set to grow rapidly. This creates a significant economic opening for South Africa, whose ports, renewable energy potential, and strategic location place it in a strong position to supply these fuels to global markets.

Becoming a green maritime fuels hub could unlock major socio-economic gains for South Africa. It offers pathways for large-scale job creation, new skills development, industrial growth and local economic stimulation in port-adjacent regions. The transition also presents opportunities for small and medium enterprises, and expanded roles for Special Economic Zones.

To understand what this transition could mean for the country, this report assesses the economic, social, and industrial implications of South Africa’s development as a green maritime fuels hub and supports national stakeholders in planning for a just and inclusive transition. The analysis draws on port-level data, scenario modelling, and stakeholder input to inform strategic planning and investment decisions.

The study is structured around five core themes: the outlook for green fuel demand; the economic and employment potential of PtX development; infrastructure and supply chain requirements; the enabling role of Special Economic Zones; and the policy tools needed to guide South Africa’s transition to net-zero shipping.